Thinking harder: how we could do referendums differently
A single vote will take us out of the EU, quite possibly without Parliament’s explicit consent. Davina Cooper asks whether a referendum based purely on individual Leave/Remain votes was the best we can do – or whether a more deliberative system, which would demand more engagement from the public, could produce a more considered outcome.
A fight has been raging since Brexit over whether the people’s will has expressed itself; and if it has, what did it say? Now in the face of a high court judgment placing parliament very clearly before the royal prerogative, the right-wing media insist the people have already spoken. Like the tablets brought down from Mount Sinai, the law has been written and politicians must defer to its will. Labour politicians too, such as Hilary Benn, emphasise that the “British people have made their decision”.
Certainly there has been no shortage of counter-arguments claiming the referendum was purely advisory; the majority in favour of leaving slim; and that, since the summer election, a significant number of “outers” or non-voters have clarified or changed position. These counter-arguments are important, but what has tended to get neglected in this conflict is a more fundamental problem, and that is the nature of the referendum itself.
What does it say about the level of respect shown towards popular or direct democracy that in a referendum, ostensibly concerned with some of the most important matters a society is facing (and we can debate whether or not this is true), people vote once with no requirement on them to contribute to or help shape political debate? Parliament does not pass laws in this way. New legislation is voted on multiple times across two Houses, with usually extensive debate, committee revisions, and a background of reports and enquiries. In the course of readings in the Commons and Lords, the law evolves and changes. While much may be wrong with the parliamentary system, including the content of many laws, what would it be like if the government routinely introduced Bills once, if success or defeat in Parliament depended on a single vote without any structured deliberation?
In other decision-making contexts involving randomly-selected members of the public, discussion and deliberation also take a structured form. The jury system, with which the Brexit referendum is tacitly analogised given the repeat references to the public’s “verdict”, combines extensive discussion with regular polls as juries collectively test the water to identify levels of dissent and how close they have got to unanimity or a sufficient majority.
If new legislation and decisions about criminal guilt are subject to debate and multiple votes, why are fundamental constitutional decisions reduced to a single sporting match which one team must win? (Even in many sports, victory depends on several repeat games being played).
But what else is possible? Could a referenda process be developed in which voting was just part of a more complex deliberative system? Going beyond calls for better, more impartial information, or encouraging people to properly discuss the issues (although the proposals of the Electoral Reform Society are very timely), what formal referendum structures might enable people to become actively engaged, not simply as a way of helping them come to better informed decisions, but on the basis that active engagement is absolutely necessary to creating legitimate meaningful outcomes?
Political forms are far from perfect. They reflect existing biases; can produce lousy outcomes and are likely to sustain existing inequalities (even with measures to undercut this). Getting them “right” shouldn’t become the primary focus of left politics; nor should more participatory political structures be treated as a means of corralling and quietening dissent. At the same time, what stands out so sharply in Brexit, and so calls for redress, is the gossamer-thin respect actually displayed towards public political engagement.
What could popular participation look like? Scaled up to the national level, this is hard to envisage, but several countries are experimenting with larger-scale forms of deliberative democracy, often involving random selection of participants, with social media a means of getting feedback and opinion from wider publics also. Iceland and Ecuador both have recently used creative democratic forms, with varying degrees of success, to develop new national constitutions.
Could we imagine a referendum process in Britain where, for instance, randomly selected local panels (perhaps also with municipal representatives) met in each constituency to discuss the questions to be posed by the referendum – able to call witnesses, take advice from “experts”, along the lines of an inquiry, and so feed into the legislative process through which a referendum bill is formulated? Once a referendum is called, should two votes be held? First, an initial national vote (that would perhaps have to contribute to the final decision to reduce “gaming”) to provide context and direction for further panel deliberations. Then a final vote that could involve a single transferable preference (or ranking system) assuming deliberative referendum pose questions more complex than in or out. In between, local panels might produce discussion papers on the issues in conditions where local media are legally obliged to provide coverage; and where national media engage with the diversity of local deliberations.
Imagining and designing alternative systems, and making explicit what they can accomplish (is the decision final or advisory; what other bodies now need to act?), is about taking popular democracy seriously – treating the democratic rhetoric we witnessed around the Brexit referendum as if it was truly meant. It is about investing resources and creating structures so people have some chance of properly considering the issues before them. The notion that it is too expensive or cumbersome seems absurd in the light of the costs and complexity of unravelling or re-forming Britain’s relationship to the rest of Europe. The notion that people are not capable of inquiring into the issues makes a mockery of jury trials, where someone’s future depends on a jury’s capacity and readiness to sift through often complex evidence; it also makes a mockery of the decision to call a referendum at all. If people cannot understand the issues, why are they being asked to make such a fundamental decision?
The LSE project to crowdsource a constitution showed how involving people in political processes is educative. Too often people are treated as passive consumers of political expertise by others. But, as the fallout of Brexit has revealed, not only is it dangerous and wrong to treat wider publics as fodder, but public displays of professional expertise also can show a startling lack of it.
Would a more active version of popular democracy have generated a better understanding of Brexit’s implications? Or would it simply have spread the best understandings of the time more widely? While impossible to know, having non-professionals asking unexpected questions, off the politicians’ beaten track, in conditions where they are charged with holding local inquiries and producing discussion papers, may have brought certain ambiguities, omissions and complexities to light. But even if it didn’t, it would go some way to creating a more politically active population, attentive to the responsibility involved in making political decisions.
The referendum structure we currently have minimises that responsibility with its ‘winner-takes-all’ yes/ no structure. Little is asked of voters except to vote; they have no capacity to respond to the questions asked, or to collectively carry the weight of the decision made. Their required participation lasts no longer than the time it takes to mark an X in a box, a mode of involvement in which their relationship to the public decision being taken is an entirely individualised and unaccountable one. Right-wing talk about the people’s will suggests a unitary force has emerged, but this is a will with no agentic power (except for the residual fear that thwarting its fictive speech-act will lead to an explosion of violence as commentators and politicians, such as UKIP’s Nigel Farage, now warn).
Treating constitutional politics as if it were a rough sport, in which a bad umpire’s call leaves spectators with no mode of involvement but to invade the pitch in order to punch and kick each other, shows a deep lack of belief in the political potential of citizenship.
Far from revealing, and even less developing, the so-called will of the people (a will which must always be fractured and plural), our current referendum structure greenlights the government’s will (or at least those parts able to deploy the referendum result for their own aims). Voting against the status quo, as the thinnest of political acts, gives the government permission to pursue the settlement they want in a context where withdrawal is of course far from withdrawal but instead the basis of a new form of relationship.
The court, for now, has redirected this power to re-settle to Parliament. While it is unclear how MPs will respond, the crisis this referendum has precipitated could provide the impetus to revisit the referendum system. While calls for a second or final referendum vote are appealing for those opposed to leaving the EU, in the absence of more sustained thinking about referendum reform, they feed into a rhetoric of “poor sports” or “petulant children”, of losers demanding a replay. The questions is: can more democratic and meaningful forms of direct popular democracy be created; and what can Britain learn from other national attempts to do just this?
This post represents the views of the author and not those of Democratic Audit. It first appeared at Social Politics and Stuff.
Davina Cooper is a professor of Law & Political Theory at the University of Kent whose work focuses on concepts, spaces of governance, and radical or dissident politics. Her most recent book, Everyday Utopias: The Conceptual Life of Promising Spaces, was published by Duke University Press (2014) and was awarded the Charles Taylor prize for interpretive methodologies in 2015. Her current book project, also for Duke, focuses on reimagining the state for progressive politics. Having been a locally elected politician and magistrate, at the heart of her research is the cross-over between political practice and transformative academic methodologies.
Well, of course, had Scotland voted a couple of years ago by 51-49 to leave the UK, there would have been little of this agonising about ‘referenda and the meaning of life’ by the same cast of people, as most of those wringing their hands now were more in favour of that (so that was ‘fair’ and needed no thought) – and of course departure from the UK is even more fraught than that of the UK leaving the EU (‘did the Scots also vote to leave the EU, which is what a vote for independence meant?’ Doesn’t look like it).
Do we now set a fabulously complex series of hurdles for the next Scottish referendum? Designed to ensure the result the elite wants? I suspect that the only people really wanting to set all these hurdles right now, cards on the table, are those crying bitter tears about the likely departure of the UK from their beloved EU. They want to scupper the result by making everything even more complex than it is, in the end telling us, as if pulling rabbits from hats, that we didn’t ‘really’ vote to leave, “I mean, you know…” and the ‘proof’ is in an evidently directed and fraudulent process of ‘consultation’ dressed up as democracy – the game is well exposed when EU fanatics now tell us it is all so complicated, that we are all children and that we shouldn’t do it after all and just leave it all to the elite. Ok then.
Just look at Ireland when the EU didn’t get its way over Lisbon – in the end they altered the rules for the re-run to ensure an elite victory, and barred the opposition from meaningful access to TV or right to reply to false smears and fake stats/Project Fear using EU funds by the pro-Lisbon camp (on tortuous and twisted chop logic grounds that most MPs were in favour of Lisbon so opponents should not have auto access to state media under the ‘fairness’ rules, breathtaking).
Any re-run in the UK would be spectacularly corrupt, would see all sorts of rule changes to bar the Leave camp from proper campaigning, and would possibly bring the system down around its head in disorder. All for the precious EU which must be obeyed at all costs.
So keep these new rules designed to stop Brexit (St Theresa and co are doing their best to stop it anyway) and sell them to the Scots – I am sure that the lovely Ms Sturgeon will be ‘delighted’ to face a referendum that will simply deny them a victory even if they got 99% of the vote saying Yes to Independence on tortuous grounds – look out for trouble there as well.
Alas, referenda are a rough sport and ill advised unless you the organiser know in advance what the result will be.
Very interesting piece. But I’d want to know more about people’s incentives to participate. I agree people are capable. But who, and how many, would be willing to devote the time to constituency panels, deliberative exercises, reading discussion papers?
Mark, anything that does not give the outcome the elite want, will be junked (see Iceland and its ‘crowdsourced constitution’, ho ho). The elite will use any such situation to pack the ‘panels’ with its mates, and then direct an outcome, as it is so so easy to do. All in this instance in the name of trying to stymie the vote to leave the EU. It’s just another ruse, however legalistic it sounds.
When I was a member of a government body, there by right as an elected person, the ‘independents’ I served with were fab people in many ways but were NOT ‘independent’ as trumpeted wide and loud: they were effectively government appointees at twice removed who owed their situation to towing the line. Woe betide if they supported any move that did not do as the government wanted. That’s what you’d get out of these panels, loads of toadies and toe-the-liners with a careful and pre-manufactured plan by the elite to scupper the result. But then of course, that is what this idea is all about anyway.
Can ‘deliberative referendums’ work? interesting from @davinacooper5. Will people participate though? https://t.co/SFDwh0VZht
Doing #referendums differently: @DavinaCooper5 on deliberative alternatives to a “one vote verdict” https://t.co/Beo8FG68P4 @democraticaudit
In relation to Brexit referendum: https://t.co/g9KW6NYsyQ
Davina Cooper asks whether we could do referendums differently: https://t.co/Af5gov2GJC
#brexit #EUref @democraticaudit
Thinking harder: how we could do referendums differently https://t.co/MLHV4FZ26Q
Thinking harder: how we could do referendums differently https://t.co/aF3KPHzN18
Thinking harder: how we could do referendums differently via @democraticaudit
#Brexit #Article50 #BrexitBritain
https://t.co/2Bb0X2sU9x
@democraticaudit – Thinking harder: how we could do referendums differently https://t.co/sCa3GNMKPN
Thinking harder: how we could do referendums differently https://t.co/fRWmYWoVP5
Thinking harder: how we could do referendums differently https://t.co/fZyAeikhNz
Thinking harder: how we could do referendums differently https://t.co/fRWmYWoVP5 https://t.co/eNH6HA5kv5