Tag: Chris Hanretty
The 2015 election has been described as the most disproportional ever – but it wasn’t disproportional everywhere
Disproportionality is the degree of mismatch between parties’ shares of votes and their shares of seats, with measures of disproportionality usually calculated for national elections. This year’s general election was criticised by many as the least proportional ever. Chris Hanretty acknowledges that on some measures, this is a valid claim, but demonstrates that calculating a measure […]
First past the post: when you can lose and still win
In this post, Jack Blumenau, Chris Hanretty, Benjamin Lauderdale, and Nick Vivyan aka the electionforecast.co.uk team discuss the likely relationship between seats and votes in the 2015 general election. They show that the geographical distribution of support for smaller parties can lead to large discrepancies in the numbers of votes required to win extra seats. Additionally, they calculate the […]
“Horse-race” coverage of elections is most common in polarised party systems in close electoral contests
What causes ‘horse-race’ coverage of electoral contests? Drawing on data from 160 different European print and broadcast outlets in 27 different countries at three different points in time, Chris Hanretty finds that this kind of electoral coverage is most frequent in polarised party systems with close electoral contests, and in large markets with professional journalists – findings which challenge the […]
Durham is the pits (for local disproportionality)
Disproportionality is the degree of mismatch between parties’ shares of votes and their shares of seats, with measures of disproportionality usually calculated for national elections. The share of votes is simply the share of all votes cast nationwide, and the share of seats is simply the share of all seats contested. Dr. Chris Hanretty of the […]
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